FreshForex News

[FreshForex]

THE MOST IMPORTANT WEEK FOR TRADERS!

The remaining days of this week mark the beginning of August, making it one of the most eventful weeks of 2024! The Federal Reserve, the Bank of England, and the Bank of Japan are making crucial economic decisions impacting global financial markets.

Key economic indicators, including changes in interest rates and the highly anticipated U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls report, will also be released this week.

Track all events across countries in our Forex Economic Calendar.

At the same time, stock market investors are focused on the current U.S. corporate earnings season, with special attention to whether the hype around AI is really coming to an end.

Given the significant drop in U.S. stock prices last week, analysts will be closely watching the financial reports of major corporations this week. If tech giants like Meta (formerly Facebook), Apple, Amazon.com, AMD, and Intel maintain optimistic AI-related revenue forecasts, it could trigger a broader stock market recovery.

For crypto traders, the main event last week was Donald Trump's speech at a Bitcoin conference. Here are the key points from his speech:

* Bitcoin is the ninth most valuable asset in the world. One day, it will surpass gold in market capitalization.
* If we don't embrace crypto technologies, China will outpace us. I want the U.S. to lead in technology and all other sectors.
* The United States will become the crypto capital of the planet.
* Trump confirmed his intentions to make the U.S. a more favorable jurisdiction for crypto business, including mining.
* Trump stated that he would create a strategic national reserve of bitcoins if elected.

Such bold rhetoric around cryptocurrencies only increases investor interest, injecting new money flows into the crypto world.

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[FreshForex]

BLACK MONDAY! WHAT TO DO???

On
Monday, August 5, 2024, stock markets worldwide experienced a sharp decline.

The most significant drop was recorded in Asia, where the Nikkei index (#NEKKEI) on the Tokyo Stock Exchange fell by an impressive 12.4%. This result was the largest since Black Monday in October 1987.

Experts from Anderida Financial Group noted, "The long-standing interest rate differential between the Fed and the Bank of Japan encouraged a carry trade strategy: borrowing in the depreciating yen and purchasing dollars with the proceeds. This went on for quite a while. Now people are closing these positions."
European markets were also affected: the French CAC 40 (#CAC40) decreased by 2.1%, the Spanish IBEX (#IBEX35) by 2.8%, and the British FTSE100 (#FTSE100) by 1.7%. American indices showed a similar trend: the Dow Jones Industrial Average (#DJI30) fell by 2.6%, NASDAQ (#NQ100) lost 3.4%, and the S&P 500 (#SP500) dropped by 3%.

The decline was particularly severe in the technology sector. Major companies like Apple (#APPLE), Amazon (#AMAZON), Microsoft (#MICROSOFT), Alphabet (#GOOGLE), Meta Platforms (#META), and Tesla (#TESLA) suffered significant losses of nearly 10%, except for Tesla, whose shares fell "only" by 7.5%.
Investors are concerned about recent unemployment statistics in the US, which were higher than expected. The unemployment rate unexpectedly rose to 4.3% in July, against the forecasted 4.1%.

The cryptocurrency market also took a hit. Bitcoin (BTCUSD) tested the support line at $50,000, and Ethereum (ETHUSD) tried to fall below $2,200. Several lesser-known coins lost up to 20% in value within 24 hours.

However, FreshForex analysts see this downturn as not only a worrying challenge but also a chance. Fed Chair Goolsbee stated that the Fed is ready to act: in the event of worsening economic conditions, an emergency meeting may be convened with subsequent rate cuts. This could stimulate a new wave of liquidity in the market, opening up wide chances for investors.

Don't panic! Now is the time to closely follow the news and use market conditions for profitable purchases.

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[FreshForex]

STRATEGIC PURCHASES AT A MICRO PRISE!

Following the lead of other tech giants like NVIDIA, which we covered in May, MicroStrategy has decided to make its shares more accessible to investors. The company recently announced a 10-to-1 stock split, and trading at the adjusted price begins today, August 8!

Today's business world cannot function without in-depth analysis of vast amounts of data. Founded in 1989, MicroStrategy (#MicroStrgy) is one of the largest companies in this field. It continues to strengthen its market position and attract attention with its innovations. This multifunctional data analytics platform offers visualization, integration with various databases, and machine learning capabilities—just a few areas where MicroStrategy excels.

The maximum price of MicroStrategy shares on NASDAQ reached $2,000 per share, and in 2024, the peak growth in value reached 194%! Our analysts believe that after the stock split, the company will be able to attract even more funds, ensuring further growth.

Shares of this tech market giant offer several advantages:

• Powerful data analytics platform: MicroStrategy offers a multifunctional system that allows users to easily process and visualize data, making analysis accessible to a broader audience. The software supports integration with various databases and APIs, enabling companies to use data from different sources in one place.
  
• Diverse client base: MicroStrategy serves clients from various industries, including finance, healthcare, retail, and technology. This diversifies risks and creates a sustainable source of income.
  
• Smart predictions and analytics: The platform includes machine learning (AI) and predictive analytics features, allowing companies to analyze past data and forecast future trends. Based on Big Data, the algorithms provide an accurate picture of upcoming events.
  
• Bitcoin acquisition strategy: MicroStrategy actively buys bitcoin, giving shareholders indirect exposure to the cryptocurrency market. The success of this strategy could lead to significant growth in the company's shares, especially amid increasing interest in cryptocurrencies.
  
• Growth in subscription services revenue: In Q2, the company earned $24.1 million from subscription services, a 21% increase compared to the previous year.
  

Additionally, according to a report on the company's official website, MicroStrategy holds 226,500 BTC with a total value of $8.3 billion, and the return on these holdings since the beginning of the year has been 12.2%.

Founder Michael Saylor knew how to strategically allocate the company's funds. You can profit from this as well, with a high probability of a new wave of growth in MicroStrategy's stock price (#MicroStrgy)!

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[FreshForex]

Golden predictions come true!

Gold prices (XAUUSD) have reached a new all-time high, surpassing $2,550 per ounce for the first time in history.

Our long-term forecast from April 18, 2024, is coming true, with gold rising over $120 per ounce and steadily pushing towards new records.



Factors driving gold prices and expert opinions:

• Major central bank purchases: Gold prices are rising due to significant metal purchases by central banks, boosting its value.
  
  
• Geopolitical instability: Increased geopolitical instability, particularly in the Middle East, is driving demand for gold as a safe haven. Ongoing conflicts in various regions also contribute to the rising prices.
  
  
• Fed rate cut expectations: Investors anticipate a potential rate cut by the U.S. Federal Reserve, making gold a more attractive option. According to CME, there's a 75.5% probability of a rate reduction from the current 5.25–5.5% to 5–5.25%, enhancing gold's appeal.
  
  
• Growth projections: Analysts at ING and other financial institutions predict that gold prices will peak in the fourth quarter of this year, potentially reaching $2,700 per ounce by year-end and $3,000 in the long term.
  

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[FreshForex]

U.S. Department of Justice sends NVIDIA stocks tumbling

#NVIDIA shares plunged by 9.5% due to an antitrust investigation by the U.S. Department of Justice. This drop resulted in a $279 billion loss in NVIDIA's market capitalization, marking the largest single-session stock decline in the history of U.S. public companies.



FreshForex experts have analyzed the key risk factors affecting the company’s stock value:

• Antitrust investigation: The crash was triggered by a Bloomberg report that the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) has launched an antitrust investigation into #NVIDIA. Authorities suspect the company of abusing its dominant market position, making it difficult for customers to switch to other suppliers. According to sources, the DOJ has requested data from #NVIDIA that may form the basis of a lawsuit against the company.
  

• Impact of insider trading: Experts suggest that insider information about the investigation could have triggered the sell-off of #NVIDIA shares, which has caught the attention of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).
  

• Financial performance and recession risk: Despite the stock drop, #NVIDIA's financial performance remains strong: revenue in the second quarter of the 2025 fiscal year increased by 122%, reaching $32.5 billion, while net income was $16.6 billion. The majority of the company’s revenue comes from data center products, including AI processors.
  

However, concerns about a possible U.S. recession and investor skepticism over the return on investments in AI infrastructure continue to pressure the market. Experts are comparing the current situation to the dot-com bubble of the 1990s, which led to a global market collapse.

• NVIDIA’s rise and fall in 2024: Since the beginning of 2024, #NVIDIA shares have risen by 118%, and on June 20, the company briefly became the world's most valuable public company with a market cap of $3.46 trillion. However, by the end of June, the stock had dropped by 13%, resulting in a $430 billion loss in capitalization.
  

Despite its strong financial performance, NVIDIA faces serious market and legal challenges that could impact its future development. It’s important to note that the demand for innovative technologies could shift the situation, and the tech giant’s growth remains possible.

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[FreshForex]

Why haven't you profited from oil yet???

Oil prices are falling rapidly due to several factors:

* Increased crude production in the U.S. and other countries not part of the OPEC+ agreement.
* Decreased demand from a major consumer, China. In August, demand dropped by 7% year-over-year.

On September 10, 2024, the price of #BRENT oil fell to $68.44 per barrel — the lowest since December 2021!

Analysts at Gunvor and Trafigura predict that global Brent oil prices could drop to $60 in the near future. In response, eight OPEC+ member countries have agreed to extend production cuts until December 2024. However, the efforts of the commodity deal participants have yet to yield the desired results...

While traders worldwide are deciding whether to "sell with the trend or buy at a cheaper price?" we’re offering you a benefit for any trade direction by completely canceling oil swaps!

From September 16 to 29, no Swap or Swap Free fees will be charged for rolling over #BRENT and #WTI oil contracts on FreshForex platforms.

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[FreshForex]

Is crypto preparing for a new surge!?

Since March 2024, we've witnessed a significant decline in the cryptocurrency market. During this time, the price of Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has dropped by 20-30%, and many altcoins have lost 50-70%, retesting the lows of June 2022. Market participants, especially those who bought at March highs, are growing nervous, with many questioning the future of cryptocurrencies as an investment class.

However, this correction is normal in terms of market cycles and historical metrics. Moreover, U.S. presidential candidates are using the crypto market as a key element of their campaigns. This could temporarily hold back crypto growth, allowing the winning candidate to claim future successes.

Looking closer, several powerful factors are supporting the prospects of a crypto market rebound:

* Political context: The 2024 U.S. presidential election is in full swing, and both leading candidates are focusing on blockchain technology and cryptocurrencies. This creates a favorable environment for renewed interest in crypto as an investment tool. Campaign promises and discussions around supporting blockchain could stimulate interest among both private and institutional investors, potentially driving cryptocurrency growth.
* U.S. interest rate cuts: On September 18, the Federal Reserve lowered the key rate to a range of 4.75–5%, marking the first reduction since March 2020. This move aligns with market expectations but decreases the appeal of traditional financial instruments like bonds due to their lower yields. In such an environment, investors often seek higher-yielding assets, including cryptocurrencies.
* Bitcoin halving impact: One of the key events influencing Bitcoin's price is halving — the reduction in rewards for mining new blocks. The latest halving occurred in April 2024, and its effects typically appear within 5-8 months. Historically, halving creates a supply shortage, driving up Bitcoin prices. With Q4 2024 coinciding with this period, Bitcoin could surpass previous highs, potentially boosting other altcoins as well.

FreshForex analysts believe the cryptocurrency market holds significant growth potential for the rest of the year, thanks to a combination of macroeconomic factors, political support, and the halving effect. The current correction is an excellent opportunity to enter the crypto market before the upcoming rally! Don’t miss your chance—trade and profit with us!

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[FreshForex]

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In the age of digital technologies and artificial intelligence, algorithmic trading is transforming financial markets, offering new chances for profit. FreshForex, always mindful of its clients' success, brings you the latest trends and solutions in the trading world.

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If you're new to algorithmic trading, we recommend starting with "MQL5 Programming for Traders" and reviewing the language documentation.

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[FreshForex]

Markets collapse: investors flee China!

The Chinese stock market is experiencing a sharp decline following a strong rally in recent weeks. On October 8, the Hang Seng Index (#HSI on FreshForex) plummeted by 9.56%, reaching 20,893 points.

The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index, which tracks Chinese stocks traded in Hong Kong, dropped even further — by 10.9%. The CSI 300 Index of mainland China, which started the day with an 11% gain, ended with a nearly 8% loss.

The main reason for the drop is growing investor dissatisfaction with the lack of new economic stimulus measures from the Chinese government. Expectations were high, especially after the National Development and Reform Commission's press conference, where economic support was promised but no concrete actions were provided. This has heightened uncertainty in the market.

What has been done previously:

- In late September, the Chinese government announced plans to strengthen economic stimulus, promising fiscal injections and support for the real estate sector.
- The People's Bank of China lowered reserve requirements for banks, freeing up 1 trillion yuan ($142 billion) for the market.
- There are plans to lower mortgage rates and the down payment for second-home purchases to a record low of 15%.


Bottom line: The market is waiting for action. Given the history of sharp declines in the Chinese market, such as in 2015 when the CSI 300 Index lost 40% in two months, the Chinese government cannot afford a similar outcome and may direct efforts to strengthen investor confidence. Since mid-September, #HSI has experienced a steady bullish trend, and our analysts believe these trends could repeat.

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[FreshForex]

Gold reaches historic high – $2700!

Gold prices (XAUUSD) have reached a new all-time high, surpassing $2700 per ounce for the first time in history! The yellow metal, which has been rising for nine consecutive months, received fresh momentum in September from the Fed’s rate cut. Silver (XAGUSD) hasn’t been left behind either, and is currently trading at highs not seen since 2012. Prices are now around $32.30 per ounce, with silver’s growth this year increasing to 35%!

On November 21, 2023, we first alerted traders to the immense potential of precious metals. Less than a year has passed, and the returns since our forecast have reached 36%! After reaching yet another historical high, gold shows no signs of slowing down.

The main reason for the drop is growing investor dissatisfaction with the lack of new economic stimulus measures from the Chinese government. Expectations were high, especially after the National Development and Reform Commission's press conference, where economic support was promised but no concrete actions were provided. This has heightened uncertainty in the market.

Factors driving precious metal price growth and expert opinions:

• Major purchases by central banks: Gold prices are rising due to significant metal purchases by central banks, increasing its value.
  
• Geopolitical instability: Escalating geopolitical instability, particularly in the Middle East, is driving demand for metals as safe-haven assets. Ongoing conflicts in various regions also contribute to rising gold and silver prices.
  
• Expectations of a Fed rate cut: Investors are anticipating a possible interest rate cut by the U.S. Federal Reserve, making metals more attractive as investment tools. According to CME data, the probability of a rate cut at the upcoming Fed meeting on November 7 stands at 92.3%, increasing the appeal of precious metals as investments.
  
• Growth forecasts: Analysts predict that gold prices could reach $2850 per ounce by the end of the year and $3100 in the long term.
  
• Projections by major financial institutions: ING and other financial organizations expect gold prices to peak in the fourth quarter of this year, with potential prices reaching up to $2900 per ounce by mid-2025.
  

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