FreshForex News

[FreshForex]

Bitcoin on a roller coaster: is 2026 ready for a new high?

On November 18, BTCUSD fell by about 29% — from a peak of around $126,000 to ~$89,000. The fall in Bitcoin was due to a combination of factors: after the record high, many investors took profits, money flowed out of Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (spot ETFs), and caution set in on global markets, with tech stocks and AI companies falling. The sharp price fluctuations triggered forced closures of leveraged trades, which exacerbated the decline, while altcoins fell even faster and drained liquidity from the market — as a result, there were more sellers than buyers, and the price fell even further.

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Five reasons to expect a new BTCUSD impulse in 2026:

• Inflows into spot ETFs. If funds start actively buying BTC on the spot market again, this will generate stable demand from large players.
  
• The halving effect. Fewer new coins are being mined, but demand remains high, which will eventually push the price up.
  
• A more dovish Fed. Lower rates → more liquidity → investors are more willing to take on risk assets, including BTC.
  
• Clear rules and business acceptance. Clear regulation and integration with banks/companies simplify entry for mass investors.
  
• Infrastructure development. L2/Lightning, convenient custody, and new on-chain use cases make BTC more useful — demand is growing.
  

FreshForex analysts note that in 2026, Bitcoin's dynamics will largely depend on three factors: capital inflows into spot ETFs, the general “risk-on/risk-off” regime against the backdrop of Fed decisions, and key statements from regulators about the crypto market. Investors are advised to maintain a strict risk management system and focus on the macroeconomic calendar.

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